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Which District schools expect largest surge in enrollment?

By David Limm on Jul 12, 2013 06:09 PM

Enrollment projections from the District for the coming school year show the sudden growth that many of Philadelphia's neighborhood schools will undergo as dozens of schools prepare to receive thousands of students from the 24 schools that closed this year. 

South Philadelphia High, commonly called "Southern," will open its doors this fall to more than twice as many students as in the previous year. Most of those students will come from Bok Technical High, now shuttered. Southern is expecting 769 more students, according to the projections, bringing its student population up to 1,402, an increase of 121 percent.

At Tanner Duckrey Elementary in North Philadelphia, the projections show that the school will grow from 279 students to 595, mostly the result of the closure of nearby M.H. Stanton, which enrolled 332 students this past school year. 

Other receiving schools, such as Benjamin Franklin High, Tilden Middle School, and William D. Kelley Elementary, are among the District-run schools that expect the highest percentage surge in enrollment. (See a Notebook graph of the schools with the largest increases above.)

Enrollment projections for the District's 84 charter schools were not part of the report, which was included in a June School Reform Commission resolution.

Penn Treaty, E. Washington Rhodes, and Theodore Roosevelt -- among 14 schools with expanding grade spans -- also expect large percentage increases in student populations.

The entire projected enrollment list for District schools can be viewed below.  

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Comments (27)

Submitted by center65 (not verified) on July 12, 2013 6:34 pm
imagine preparing for 121% population increase without any assistance principals!
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on July 12, 2013 7:23 pm
Gives new meaning to Imagine 2014
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on July 12, 2013 9:14 pm
HAHA... NO assistant principals, counselors and secretaries... Dr.Hite's plan...
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on July 12, 2013 10:18 pm
At the high school level, these number could change. Students were not always permitted to enroll in their chosen school. Wait until late August / September when enrollment opens. That said, I hope Hite / Khin / etc. realize that they will need to provide a number of high schools with additional support / staff for the fall. If a charter such as Mastery was getting a huge influx in students, don't you think they would provide even more support staff? (Mastery already has a very top heavy administrative group in every school - numerous APs). We will hear how Mastery "succeeds" while public schools fail? Don't you think there is a connection, Hite and Khin, to the supports and staffing in the schools?
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on July 13, 2013 2:04 pm
Don't forget that most of Mastery's schools have been "succeeding" prior to the downfall of the PSD. And here come all of the BS comments, again!
Submitted by Education Grad ... on July 12, 2013 11:22 pm
Dear The Notebook, Would it be possible to make the projected enrollment list available as a pdf? It would be easier to read this way. Thanks. EGS
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on July 13, 2013 9:55 am
Right click on the image to view it. You can enlarge it by clicking on it. Worked for me. It looks like a scanned document, so that's the best way they can embed the list.
Submitted by Education Grad ... on July 13, 2013 12:40 pm
Thanks. I know about the right clicking. It would still be nice to have the list as a pdf file though.
Submitted by Paul Socolar on July 15, 2013 12:25 am

click on the link in the first line of the article

Submitted by A Teacher (not verified) on July 13, 2013 2:53 am
How is it that Penrose is accepting Pepper's 400 something kids but their number is only expected to increase by a handful of students?
Submitted by Timothy Boyle on July 13, 2013 12:31 pm

Many, if not most, of Pepper's students will go to Tilden. Tilden's enrollment will increase by a projected 89%, which is higher than increase in enrollment at Harding (83%) or Vare (85%). Pepper's feeder schools were Patterson at 5th grade and Catharine at 6th grade.

This year Tilden will enroll rising 5th graders from Patterson, rising 6th graders from Catharine and Morton, as well as rising 8th graders from Shaw should those students choose to go to Tilden instead of returing to Comegys or Harrington.

Penrose's rising 7th and 8th grade classes are the biggest the schools has had in 5 years, which probably is the reason for only 22 more "seats" being projected for next year. 

Submitted by J.J. McHabe (not verified) on July 13, 2013 10:06 am
Do people here honestly believe schools will open in the fall without any counselors, secretaries, APs, etc? Really people? Hite won't open schools in the fall without them, and if he tried to, Jerry has said he won't send his people into those buildings. While technically possible, it isn't. Are there people who don't know that? I am far from the smartest person in the world. Not even close, but even I know that.
Submitted by Vera (not verified) on July 13, 2013 1:36 pm
I for one am looking forward to seeing my principal get out of her chair put the donuts down and see what she can do. Answer phones? Probably not, Make coffee? definitely not. Provide order in the Hall? What you talking about? Delegate the whole thing to someone? Definitely.
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on July 13, 2013 2:34 pm
I know that people knock Mastery all of the time, but this is where there is huge difference between the admin at Mastery and many (not all) admin in the district. You won't find admin at Mastery sitting in their office for long stretches. Instead they are in classrooms, manning hallways, policing the streets in the mornings and after school, calling parents, meeting with teachers, and the lost goes on and on. They are true "One-Teamers" and will do whatever it takes to contribute to a healthy climate in the school.
Submitted by Poogie (not verified) on July 13, 2013 4:41 pm
Our administrators simply stink. They could not manage one car funerals. They care only about their perks and making sure the teachers know they are big deals. But when it comes to education they are clueless fools. That is why charters run rings around us not better teachers but minimally competent administrators. Mastery would never employ 99% of the fools that lead SDP schools.
Submitted by linda (not verified) on July 13, 2013 8:53 pm
They could not manage one car funerals. Love that line....I will be stealing it Linda K.
Submitted by Education Grad ... on July 14, 2013 8:11 pm
Anonymous, I totally agree with your assessment of Mastery administrators. This was my experience at the Mastery school at which I spent time. The Principal and APs were all competent. Some of the APs at times put some extra work on teachers, but I agree, Mastery requires administrators to be hands-on. Behaviors such as teachers doing paperwork during instructional time day after day, constant berating of students, and poor custodial work (leading to a dirty building) didn't happen at the Mastery school. Although I agree with your assessment, I'm not sure that Mastery's approach to education is healthy. Their behavior management is very overbearing and really encourages compliance above and beyond what is normal at other schools. (See an article about Mastery, KIPP, and Scholar Academies here: http://edr.sagepub.com/content/42/2/89.abstract). Mastery really emphasizes standardized testing and benchmarks. Also, they have a business mentality and part of that is that they want to expand even if this is detrimental to the School District and its students. Wanting to add a grade to Pickett MS which means one less grade at Kelly School in Germantown is an example. EGS
Submitted by Joe K. (not verified) on July 14, 2013 3:24 pm
J.J.--You'll get no argument from me about your challenged intelligence if you really think Hite won't open the schools with the skeleton crew left standing. That's exactly what he wants so the district folks can fail leading to more easy turnover. Hite is NOT your friend, nor does he give a rat's ass about THESE kids, maybe some kids, but not these kids. He'a a closer and that's why he's here. Google William Hite and see what the folks down South thought of him. Having said that, he's also looking for Jerry to buckle like the wimp Ackerman knew or felt him to be. Make no mistake about that either. By the way, Jerry would send his people into the schools as a show of caring if nothing else. Hite couldn't possibly care less;he will simply blame everything on the PFT etc. kinda like that varmint Pontius Pilate.
Submitted by lmm324 (not verified) on July 14, 2013 3:40 pm
Joe - Although I have no love for Hite, your comments are way off-base to say that he doesn't care. Hite walked into a bad situation. It's not his fault the predicament of SDP. Quite frankly, anybody who is the super of this district is in a no-win position. I know I would not want this job, even for $300,000 a year. I don't know if my comment was deleted, but take a look at the chart. Do the schools have the capacity (classrooms and seats) to handle the influx of kids? If yes, it's clear that many of these schools were operating at near or less than 50% capacity. That's not efficient due to the fixed operating costs of keeping a school open with building maintenance, administration, utilities, etc. No wonder SDP has no money. It's a poorly run school district.
Submitted by anonymous (not verified) on July 14, 2013 4:26 pm
Anyone who attends the Broad Superintendent's Academy, as did Hite, agrees to participate in the dismantling of public education. Hite does not get a pass. He is a closer. For his willingness to participate in this, he deserves no respect. By definition, he does not care. While it may not be his "fault" that the district is in the situation it is in, Hite is happy to take advantage of the spoils of his position, add to his resume and move up in this despicable field. I would say, anyone who is the super of this district is in a no-lose position. Whatever happens to the city of Philadelphia is of no concern to him. The rest of us, particularly students and school staff members are in a no-win position.
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on July 14, 2013 4:59 pm
It's poorly run because the powers that be keep picking carpetbaggers to do their dirty work. Look at what happen in MD when Hite was down there. He is hardly a victim of "wrong place at the wrong time". The schools losing students are a product of a school administration that would rather squander money on deals that benefit them than get what students really need. These school are allowed to run down and continually are run by incompetent principal. Parents take out their kids in disgust and then the 440 posse say,, "See? I told you, close it down, nobody wants to know about it".
Submitted by lmm324 (not verified) on July 14, 2013 5:00 pm
I wonder how many of you, particularly the parents and teachers union, fought against the closing of schools years ago that would have benefited the financial stability of SDP. It's politically incorrect to close a school. Move along, nothing here to see. We want our schools open. You didn't lose the battle with the formation of the SRC in 2001. You lost the battle and the war 16 years ago back in 1997. Yes. 16 years ago when Ridge proposed vouchers, the unions fought it tooth and nail. Mention vouchers and everybody goes aphaletic. How dare we use public tax dollars to fund parochial schools? Common, throw a bone to the parochial schools of what $50 million, maybe $75 million. You ended up with the EITC. Dwight Evans et. al. saw the silver (more like gold) lining in that cloud with charter schools in 2001. A school district within a school district. I knew back then that would never work. It's now to the tune of $700+ million a year in SDP alone. The rest is history. Your post is proving my point. To sum it up for ya, somebody had a pretty darn good strategic plan back 15 years ago.
Submitted by anon (not verified) on July 14, 2013 6:11 pm
please. hite is a hatchet man who does what he's told and is paid well to sigh, look rueful and deflect the resulting flack. any show of concern is pretense. he does what he's told.
Submitted by Joe K. (not verified) on July 14, 2013 7:08 pm
Bingo !!
Submitted by Richard Bice (not verified) on July 16, 2013 1:39 am
Enrollment projections for the District's 84 charter schools were indeed not at all part of the report, which was included in a June School Reform Commission declaration.
Submitted by Edward Bruce (not verified) on July 25, 2013 2:14 am
Enrollment projections for the District's 84 charter schools were indeed not at all part of the report, which was included in a June School Reform Commission declaration.
Submitted by notebook paling murah (not verified) on September 27, 2013 5:47 am
maybe with a nice little bar

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